1
56%
Home Win
1.78
X
25%
Draw
4.08
2
19%
Away Win
5.22
xG Home
1.64
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estudiantes de La Plata an expected 1.6 goals and Newell’s Old Boys an expected 0.8 goals. Estudiantes de La Plata have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Newell’s Old Boys at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
1:1
11.5%
2:0
11.2%
2:1
9.5%
0:0
8.3%
0:1
7%
3:0
6.2%
3:1
5.2%
1:2
4.9%
2:2
4%
0:2
3%
4:0
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Estudiantes de La Plata Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Estudiantes de La Plata | Newell’s Old Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 15 |
| 21 | Points | 14 |
| 38% | Win % | 19% |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.81 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Estudiantes de La Plata at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Newell’s Old Boys Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Estudiantes de La Plata
L
D
Newell’s Old Boys
D
