1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
25%
Away Win
3.99
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estudiantes de La Plata an expected 1.4 goals and Defensa y Justicia an expected 0.9 goals. Estudiantes de La Plata have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Defensa y Justicia at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
10.4%
2:0
9.6%
0:1
9.4%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
4.3%
0:2
4.3%
2:2
3.9%
3:1
3.9%
3:2
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Estudiantes de La Plata Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Estudiantes de La Plata | Defensa y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 12 |
| 21 | Points | 19 |
| 38% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
Venue Form
Estudiantes de La Plata at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Defensa y Justicia Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Estudiantes de La Plata
L
D
Defensa y Justicia
L
L
