1
66%
Home Win
1.52
X
22%
Draw
4.52
2
12%
Away Win
8.16
xG Home
1.78
xG Away
0.62
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dinamo Moscow an expected 1.8 goals and Makhachkala an expected 0.6 goals. Dinamo Moscow have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Makhachkala at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.2%
2:0
14.4%
1:1
10%
0:0
9.1%
2:1
8.9%
3:0
8.6%
0:1
5.6%
3:1
5.3%
4:0
3.8%
1:2
3.1%
2:2
2.7%
4:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dinamo Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Dinamo Moscow | Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 14 |
| 45 | Points | 26 |
| 40% | Win % | 17% |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.63 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
