1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
28%
Draw
3.6
2
25%
Away Win
4.06
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Defensa y Justicia an expected 1.4 goals and Newell’s Old Boys an expected 0.9 goals. Defensa y Justicia have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Newell’s Old Boys at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.4%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
10.6%
2:0
9.7%
0:1
9.4%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
5.7%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.2%
3:1
3.9%
2:2
3.8%
3:2
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Defensa y Justicia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Defensa y Justicia | Newell’s Old Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 15 |
| 19 | Points | 14 |
| 31% | Win % | 19% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.81 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Defensa y Justicia at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Newell’s Old Boys Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Defensa y Justicia
W
L
D
Newell’s Old Boys
D
