1
39%
Home Win
2.57
X
31%
Draw
3.21
2
30%
Away Win
3.34
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Defensa y Justicia an expected 1.1 goals and Aldosivi an expected 0.9 goals. Defensa y Justicia have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Aldosivi at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.1%
0:0
14.3%
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.7%
2:0
8%
2:1
7.1%
1:2
6%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
3.2%
3:0
2.8%
3:1
2.5%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Defensa y Justicia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Defensa y Justicia | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 13 |
| 19 | Points | 18 |
| 31% | Win % | 31% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.81 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Defensa y Justicia at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Aldosivi Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Defensa y Justicia
L
D
Aldosivi
L
Head to Head
Aldosivi
0 : 0
Defensa Y Justicia
D
Defensa Y Justicia
2 : 0
Aldosivi
L
Aldosivi
0 : 5
Defensa Y Justicia
W
