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Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Incheon United — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC
Competition
K League 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Daejeon Hana Citizen
  • Jeonbuk Motors 0–0 Daejeon Hana Citizen
  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–2 Daejeon Hana Citizen
  • Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–2 Gwangju FC
  • Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Hana Citizen
  • Daejeon Hana Citizen 2–2 Pohang Steelers
Incheon United
  • Incheon United 3–1 Jeju United FC
  • Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon United
  • Gangwon FC 0–0 Incheon United
  • Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Hana Citizen
  • Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1 Incheon United
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Daejeon Hana Citizen 33 · Incheon United 33. Data saved: 2026-11-07 02:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Daejeon Hana Citizen 51% · 2026-11-07 02:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.47
Model goal expectation · 2 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 54%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.47 · Incheon United 1.20.
1 43% · X 26% · 2 31%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.2%
1:0 10.2%
2:1 9%
0:1 8.3%
2:0 7.5%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 5%
3:1 4.4%
3:0 3.7%
1:3 2.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome Daejeon Hana Citizen Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33

Team Comparison

Daejeon Hana Citizen Incheon United
3 League Position 6
49 Points 46
39% Win % 36%
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

Daejeon Hana Citizen at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Incheon United Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Daejeon Hana Citizen
D W W D D
Incheon United
W D D D L

Head to Head

20 Sep 2026 k_league
Incheon United 1 : 1 Daejeon Hana Citizen
D

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02

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03

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