1
80%
Home Win
1.25
X
14%
Draw
6.92
2
5%
Away Win
18.45
xG Home
2.34
xG Away
0.44
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Daejeon Hana Citizen an expected 2.3 goals and Gwangju FC an expected 0.4 goals. Daejeon Hana Citizen have a 80% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Gwangju FC at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
16.9%
1:0
14.4%
3:0
13.2%
4:0
7.7%
2:1
7.5%
1:1
6.4%
0:0
6.2%
3:1
5.9%
4:1
3.4%
0:1
2.7%
2:2
1.7%
1:2
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Daejeon Hana Citizen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 80% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.25 |
| Market Odds | 1.33 |
Team Comparison
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 12 |
| 20 | Points | 10 |
| 21% | Win % | 5% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.53 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.26 |
Venue Form
Daejeon Hana Citizen at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Gwangju FC Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Daejeon Hana Citizen
D
D
Gwangju FC
D
