1
46%
Home Win
2.18
X
33%
Draw
3.07
2
22%
Away Win
4.64
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
0.64
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Daejeon Hana Citizen an expected 1.1 goals and Bucheon FC 1995 an expected 0.6 goals. Daejeon Hana Citizen have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Bucheon FC 1995 at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.4%
0:0
17.9%
1:1
12.4%
0:1
11.5%
2:0
10.5%
2:1
6.7%
1:2
4%
3:0
3.8%
0:2
3.7%
3:1
2.4%
2:2
2.1%
4:0
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Daejeon Hana Citizen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | Bucheon FC 1995 | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 9 |
| 16 | Points | 17 |
| 27% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.73 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
