CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 · Russian Premier League
1 42%
Home Win 2.39
X 24%
Draw 4.19
2 34%
Away Win 2.93
xG Home 1.62
xG Away 1.44
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 61%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives CSKA Moscow an expected 1.6 goals and Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 1.4 goals. CSKA Moscow have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Lokomotiv Moscow at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.9%
2:1 8.9%
1:2 7.9%
1:0 7.5%
0:1 6.7%
2:2 6.4%
2:0 6.1%
0:2 4.9%
3:1 4.8%
0:0 4.7%
1:3 3.8%
3:2 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick CSKA Moscow Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Team Comparison

CSKA Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow
5 League Position 3
51 Points 53
50% Win % 47%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3

Venue Form

CSKA Moscow at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

CSKA Moscow
W

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