1
42%
Home Win
2.39
X
24%
Draw
4.19
2
34%
Away Win
2.93
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives CSKA Moscow an expected 1.6 goals and Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 1.4 goals. CSKA Moscow have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Lokomotiv Moscow at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
8.9%
1:2
7.9%
1:0
7.5%
0:1
6.7%
2:2
6.4%
2:0
6.1%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.8%
0:0
4.7%
1:3
3.8%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | CSKA Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| CSKA Moscow | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 3 |
| 51 | Points | 53 |
| 50% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
CSKA Moscow at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
CSKA Moscow
W