1
38%
Home Win
2.65
X
25%
Draw
4.01
2
37%
Away Win
2.67
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 1.4 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.4 goals. Cruz Azul have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.4%
1:0
8.2%
0:1
8.1%
2:2
6%
2:0
5.9%
0:2
5.8%
0:0
5.7%
3:1
4%
1:3
4%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Cruz Azul | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 33 | Points | 36 |
| 53% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Cruz Azul at Home
W3
D3
L0
(6 games)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W3
D2
L1
(6 games)
Recent Form
Cruz Azul
W
D
D
W
W
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
D
L
D
W
