Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction

Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 21 May 2026 · Liga MX
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 1.5 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.2 goals. Cruz Azul have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Cruz Azul Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Cruz Azul U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Cruz Azul at Home
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W2 D2 L1 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Cruz Azul
D D W W D
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D L D W W