1
51%
Home Win
1.96
X
27%
Draw
3.72
2
22%
Away Win
4.54
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 1.4 goals and Club América an expected 0.8 goals. Cruz Azul have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Club América at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.7%
1:1
12.4%
2:0
10.6%
0:0
10.2%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.6%
1:2
5.2%
3:0
5.1%
3:1
4.3%
2:2
3.8%
0:2
3.6%
4:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Cruz Azul | Club América | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 8 |
| 33 | Points | 25 |
| 53% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Cruz Azul at Home
W3
D3
L0
(6 games)
Club América Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Cruz Azul
W
D
D
W
W
Club América
D
W
D
W
