1
58%
Home Win
1.73
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
16%
Away Win
6.09
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
0.67
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cruz Azul an expected 1.5 goals and Atlas an expected 0.7 goals. Cruz Azul have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Atlas at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.9%
2:0
12.9%
1:1
11.4%
0:0
11.1%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
6.5%
3:1
4.4%
1:2
3.8%
2:2
2.9%
0:2
2.5%
4:0
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Cruz Azul | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 33 | Points | 26 |
| 53% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Cruz Azul at Home
W3
D3
L0
(6 games)
Atlas Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Cruz Azul
W
D
D
W
W
Atlas
W
L
W
W
