1
38%
Home Win
2.63
X
27%
Draw
3.66
2
35%
Away Win
2.89
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Charlton an expected 1.3 goals and QPR an expected 1.2 goals. Charlton have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and QPR at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
1:0
10.9%
0:1
10.3%
0:0
8.7%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
6.9%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
4.8%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
3%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Charlton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Charlton | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | League Position | 15 |
| 53 | Points | 58 |
| 28% | Win % | 35% |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Charlton at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
QPR Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Charlton
W
L
QPR
L
L
