1
39%
Home Win
2.58
X
30%
Draw
3.31
2
31%
Away Win
3.22
xG Home
1.10
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Charlton an expected 1.1 goals and Portsmouth FC an expected 1.0 goals. Charlton have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Portsmouth FC at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
13.5%
0:0
12.8%
0:1
12.2%
2:0
7.8%
2:1
7.4%
1:2
6.4%
0:2
5.8%
2:2
3.5%
3:0
2.9%
3:1
2.7%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Charlton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Charlton | Portsmouth FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | League Position | 18 |
| 53 | Points | 55 |
| 28% | Win % | 30% |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Charlton at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Portsmouth FC Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Charlton
D
W
L
Portsmouth FC
W
L
D
