1
35%
Home Win
2.87
X
27%
Draw
3.67
2
38%
Away Win
2.64
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Celtic an expected 1.2 goals and Heart of Midlothian an expected 1.3 goals. Celtic have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Heart of Midlothian at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
10.8%
1:0
10.2%
0:0
8.6%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
7.7%
0:2
6.8%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.4%
3:1
3.1%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heart of Midlothian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Celtic | Heart of Midlothian | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 67 | Points | 70 |
| 64% | Win % | 64% |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Celtic at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Heart of Midlothian Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Celtic
W
W
Heart of Midlothian
D
W
Head to Head
Celtic
0 : 0
Heart of Midlothian
D
Heart of Midlothian
2 : 2
Celtic
D
Celtic
1 : 2
Heart of Midlothian
L