1
29%
Home Win
3.42
X
31%
Draw
3.24
2
40%
Away Win
2.51
xG Home
0.89
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Casa Pia AC an expected 0.9 goals and Santa Clara an expected 1.1 goals. Casa Pia AC have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Santa Clara at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.1%
0:0
13.9%
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.3%
0:2
8.2%
1:2
7.3%
2:1
5.9%
2:0
5.4%
2:2
3.2%
0:3
3%
1:3
2.6%
3:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Santa Clara Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Casa Pia AC | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 13 |
| 30 | Points | 36 |
| 18% | Win % | 26% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Casa Pia AC at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Santa Clara Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Casa Pia AC
W
L
L
D
Santa Clara
W
D
D
L
