1
27%
Home Win
3.74
X
27%
Draw
3.66
2
46%
Away Win
2.18
xG Home
0.98
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Moreirense an expected 1.0 goals and GIL Vicente an expected 1.4 goals. Moreirense have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and GIL Vicente at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.1%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
9.5%
1:0
9.3%
0:2
9%
1:2
8.8%
2:1
6.3%
2:0
4.6%
2:2
4.3%
0:3
4.1%
1:3
4%
3:1
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GIL Vicente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Moreirense | GIL Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 50 |
| 35% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Moreirense at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
GIL Vicente Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Moreirense
W
L
W
W
GIL Vicente
L
D
