1
21%
Home Win
4.79
X
22%
Draw
4.52
2
57%
Away Win
1.75
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.91
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Braga an expected 1.1 goals and Sporting CP an expected 1.9 goals. SC Braga have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Sporting CP at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
9.7%
0:2
9.3%
1:3
6.3%
0:3
5.9%
2:1
5.5%
1:0
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
0:0
5.1%
2:3
3.4%
1:4
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sporting CP Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| SC Braga | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 59 | Points | 82 |
| 47% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.62 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
SC Braga at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Sporting CP Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
SC Braga
W
D
D
W
Sporting CP
D
W
D
