Bodø/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Prediction

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2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 · Eliteserien
1 73%
Home Win 1.38
X 17%
Draw 5.76
2 10%
Away Win 10.12
xG Home 2.24
xG Away 0.69
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Bodø/Glimt an expected 2.2 goals and Fredrikstad an expected 0.7 goals. Bodø/Glimt have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Fredrikstad at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 13.4%
1:0 12%
3:0 10%
2:1 9.2%
1:1 8.2%
3:1 6.9%
4:0 5.6%
0:0 5.4%
4:1 3.9%
0:1 3.7%
2:2 3.2%
1:2 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Bodø/Glimt Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Bodø/Glimt Fredrikstad
2 League Position 7
70 Points 42
73% Win % 37%
2.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17

Venue Form

Bodø/Glimt at Home
W4 D0 L1 (5 games)
80% win rate
Fredrikstad Away
W0 D0 L5 (5 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Bodø/Glimt
W W L W W
Fredrikstad
L L L L L

Head to Head

30 Nov 2025 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt 5 : 0 Fredrikstad
L
16 Jul 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad 0 : 1 Bodo/Glimt
W
10 Nov 2024 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt 2 : 2 Fredrikstad
D