1
69%
Home Win
1.44
X
19%
Draw
5.29
2
12%
Away Win
8.53
xG Home
2.12
xG Away
0.73
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Boca Juniors an expected 2.1 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata an expected 0.7 goals. Boca Juniors have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Estudiantes de La Plata at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.9%
1:0
12.2%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
9.1%
1:1
9%
3:1
6.7%
0:0
5.8%
4:0
4.8%
0:1
4.2%
4:1
3.6%
2:2
3.5%
1:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Boca Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| Boca Juniors | Estudiantes de La Plata | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 29 | Points | 21 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Boca Juniors at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Estudiantes de La Plata Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Boca Juniors
L
W
Estudiantes de La Plata
W
W
D
