1
60%
Home Win
1.65
X
25%
Draw
4.01
2
15%
Away Win
6.84
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
0.63
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Besiktas an expected 1.6 goals and Kocaelispor FK an expected 0.6 goals. Besiktas have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Kocaelispor FK at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.4%
2:0
13.7%
0:0
11%
1:1
10.9%
2:1
8.6%
3:0
7.2%
0:1
6.9%
3:1
4.5%
1:2
3.4%
4:0
2.8%
2:2
2.7%
0:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Besiktas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Besiktas | Kocaelispor FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 10 |
| 60 | Points | 37 |
| 50% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Besiktas at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Kocaelispor FK Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Besiktas
W
L
D
Kocaelispor FK
L
D
L