Besiktas vs Kocaelispor FK Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · Süper Lig
1 60%
Home Win 1.65
X 25%
Draw 4.01
2 15%
Away Win 6.84
xG Home 1.58
xG Away 0.63
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Besiktas an expected 1.6 goals and Kocaelispor FK an expected 0.6 goals. Besiktas have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Kocaelispor FK at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 17.4%
2:0 13.7%
0:0 11%
1:1 10.9%
2:1 8.6%
3:0 7.2%
0:1 6.9%
3:1 4.5%
1:2 3.4%
4:0 2.8%
2:2 2.7%
0:2 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Besiktas Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67
Market Odds 1.77

Team Comparison

Besiktas Kocaelispor FK
4 League Position 10
60 Points 37
50% Win % 26%
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Besiktas at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Kocaelispor FK Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Besiktas
W L D
Kocaelispor FK
L D L