1
17%
Home Win
5.74
X
18%
Draw
5.46
2
64%
Away Win
1.56
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
2.42
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rizespor an expected 1.2 goals and Fenerbahce an expected 2.4 goals. Rizespor have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Fenerbahce at 64%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.4%
0:2
7.9%
1:1
7.8%
1:3
7.6%
0:1
6.5%
0:3
6.3%
2:2
5.6%
2:1
4.7%
1:4
4.6%
2:3
4.5%
0:4
3.8%
1:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fenerbahce Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Rizespor | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 2 |
| 41 | Points | 74 |
| 29% | Win % | 62% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.26 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Rizespor at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Fenerbahce Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Rizespor
L
D
W
Fenerbahce
D
W
L
W
