1
81%
Home Win
1.24
X
13%
Draw
7.75
2
6%
Away Win
16.5
xG Home
2.66
xG Away
0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Galatasaray an expected 2.7 goals and Kasımpaşa an expected 0.6 goals. Galatasaray have a 81% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Kasımpaşa at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.6%
3:0
12.1%
1:0
10.3%
2:1
8.1%
4:0
8%
3:1
7.2%
1:1
6.1%
4:1
4.8%
0:0
3.9%
2:2
2.4%
0:1
2.3%
3:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Galatasaray Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 81% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.23 |
| Market Odds | 1.31 |
Team Comparison
| Galatasaray | Kasımpaşa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 13 |
| 77 | Points | 35 |
| 71% | Win % | 24% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Galatasaray at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Kasımpaşa Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Galatasaray
W
W
W
Kasımpaşa
W
L
L