1
48%
Home Win
2.06
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
24%
Away Win
4.22
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
0.86
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Barracas Central an expected 1.4 goals and Independ. Rivadavia an expected 0.9 goals. Barracas Central have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Independ. Rivadavia at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.8%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
10.9%
2:0
10.1%
0:1
9.4%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
5.4%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
4%
3:1
3.9%
2:2
3.7%
3:2
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Barracas Central Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Barracas Central | Independ. Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 14 |
| 23 | Points | 16 |
| 31% | Win % | 19% |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Barracas Central at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Independ. Rivadavia Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Barracas Central
D
W
L
D
Independ. Rivadavia
D
D
