1
28%
Home Win
3.55
X
26%
Draw
3.79
2
45%
Away Win
2.2
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Banfield an expected 1.1 goals and Barracas Central an expected 1.4 goals. Banfield have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Barracas Central at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
11.7%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.7%
0:2
8.4%
0:0
8.1%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
4.8%
2:0
4.7%
1:3
4.3%
0:3
4%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Barracas Central Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Banfield | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 21 | Points | 23 |
| 38% | Win % | 31% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Banfield at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Barracas Central Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Banfield
D
Barracas Central
W
W
D
