1
51%
Home Win
1.95
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
21%
Away Win
4.67
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Baltika an expected 1.4 goals and Spartak Moscow an expected 0.8 goals. Baltika have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Spartak Moscow at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.5%
1:1
12.4%
0:0
11.1%
2:0
10.9%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
8.7%
3:0
5.1%
1:2
5%
3:1
4.1%
0:2
3.5%
2:2
3.5%
4:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Baltika Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Baltika | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 4 |
| 46 | Points | 52 |
| 37% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
Spartak Moscow Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Spartak Moscow
W
