1
50%
Home Win
2.01
X
33%
Draw
3
2
17%
Away Win
5.96
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
0.49
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
BTTS
26%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Baltika an expected 1.1 goals and Rubin an expected 0.5 goals. Baltika have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Rubin at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
22.4%
0:0
20.8%
2:0
12.1%
1:1
11.1%
0:1
10.3%
2:1
6%
3:0
4.3%
1:2
2.7%
0:2
2.5%
3:1
2.1%
2:2
1.5%
4:0
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Baltika Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Baltika | Rubin | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 8 |
| 46 | Points | 43 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
