Atlético Tucumán vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
1 42%
Home Win 2.39
X 32%
Draw 3.17
2 27%
Away Win 3.74
xG Home 1.08
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlético Tucumán an expected 1.1 goals and Independ. Rivadavia an expected 0.8 goals. Atlético Tucumán have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Independ. Rivadavia at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.4%
0:0 15.1%
1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.2%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 7.2%
1:2 5.3%
0:2 4.9%
3:0 3.2%
2:2 2.9%
3:1 2.6%
1:3 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Independ. Rivadavia Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Atlético Tucumán at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Independ. Rivadavia Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Atlético Tucumán
D
Independ. Rivadavia
D D

Head to Head

24 Jan 2026 Liga Profesional Argentina
Independ. Rivadavia 2 : 1 Atletico Tucuman
L
04 Aug 2024 Liga Profesional Argentina
Atletico Tucuman 2 : 1 Independ. Rivadavia
L
17 Mar 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Atletico Tucuman 2 : 2 Independ. Rivadavia
D