Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 18 Jul 2026 · Liga MX
1 23%
Home Win 4.42
X 22%
Draw 4.57
2 55%
Away Win 1.8
xG Home 1.18
xG Away 1.96
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Atletico San Luis an expected 1.2 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 2.0 goals. Atletico San Luis have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Cruz Azul at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10%
1:2 9.8%
0:1 8.5%
0:2 8.3%
1:3 6.4%
2:1 5.9%
2:2 5.8%
0:3 5.4%
1:0 5.1%
0:0 4.3%
2:3 3.8%
1:4 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Cruz Azul Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Atletico San Luis Cruz Azul
14 League Position 3
18 Points 33
29% Win % 53%
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

Atletico San Luis at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Cruz Azul Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Atletico San Luis
L W L
Cruz Azul
W W D

Head to Head

07 Mar 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul 3 : 0 Atletico San Luis
L
12 Aug 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis 1 : 2 Cruz Azul
W
16 Mar 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul 3 : 0 Atletico San Luis
L