1
5%
Home Win
21.14
X
17%
Draw
5.81
2
78%
Away Win
1.28
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.99
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
23%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Asteras Tripolis an expected 0.3 goals and Olympiakos Piraeus an expected 2.0 goals. Asteras Tripolis have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Olympiakos Piraeus at 78%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
20.1%
0:2
20%
0:3
13.2%
0:0
10.1%
0:4
6.6%
1:1
6.1%
1:2
6.1%
1:3
4%
1:0
3.1%
1:4
2%
2:1
0.9%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Olympiakos Piraeus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 78% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.28 |
| Market Odds | 1.36 |
Team Comparison
| Asteras Tripolis | Olympiakos Piraeus | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 2 |
| 17 | Points | 58 |
| 12% | Win % | 65% |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.42 |
