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Aris Thessaloniki vs Panetolikos — Prediction

0 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Super League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Competition
Super League 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Aris Thessaloniki
  • Levadiakos 3–0 Aris Thessaloniki
  • Aris Thessaloniki 3–1 Atromitos
  • Kifisia 1–2 Aris Thessaloniki
  • Aris Thessaloniki 3–2 Volos NFC
  • Aris Thessaloniki 0–0 Iraklis 1908
Panetolikos
  • Panetolikos 0–1 OFI Crete
  • AEK Athens FC 5–0 Panetolikos
  • Panetolikos 0–2 Olympiakos Piraeus
  • Kifisia 2–0 Panetolikos
  • Panetolikos 1–2 PAOK
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Aris Thessaloniki 26 · Panetolikos 26. Data saved: 2026-11-06 04:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Draw 34% · 2026-11-06 02:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.95
Model goal expectation · 2 0.70
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
BTTS 31%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Aris Thessaloniki 0.95 · Panetolikos 0.70.
1 40% · X 34% · 2 26%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:0 19.2%
1:0 18.3%
0:1 13.4%
1:1 12.8%
2:0 8.7%
2:1 6.1%
0:2 4.7%
1:2 4.5%
3:0 2.8%
2:2 2.1%
3:1 1.9%
0:3 1.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Aris Thessaloniki Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5

Team Comparison

Aris Thessaloniki Panetolikos
8 League Position 11
30 Points 26
23% Win % 27%
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46

Venue Form

Aris Thessaloniki at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Panetolikos Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Aris Thessaloniki
L W W W D
Panetolikos
L L L L L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.