1
31%
Home Win
3.23
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
43%
Away Win
2.34
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Asteras Tripolis an expected 1.2 goals and Kifisia an expected 1.4 goals. Asteras Tripolis have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Kifisia at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
10.8%
1:0
8.9%
1:2
8.8%
0:0
7.6%
0:2
7.6%
2:1
7.3%
2:0
5.1%
2:2
5.1%
1:3
4.2%
0:3
3.6%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kifisia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Asteras Tripolis | Kifisia | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 10 |
| 17 | Points | 27 |
| 12% | Win % | 23% |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |