1
7%
Home Win
14.97
X
17%
Draw
6.04
2
77%
Away Win
1.3
xG Home
0.47
xG Away
2.16
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Asteras Tripolis an expected 0.5 goals and AEK Athens FC an expected 2.2 goals. Asteras Tripolis have a 7% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and AEK Athens FC at 77%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
16.8%
0:1
15.5%
0:3
12.1%
1:2
7.9%
1:1
7.3%
0:0
7.2%
0:4
6.6%
1:3
5.7%
1:0
3.4%
1:4
3.1%
2:2
1.9%
2:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AEK Athens FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 77% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.3 |
| Market Odds | 1.38 |
Team Comparison
| Asteras Tripolis | AEK Athens FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 1 |
| 17 | Points | 60 |
| 12% | Win % | 69% |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.65 |
