1
39%
Home Win
2.58
X
30%
Draw
3.37
2
32%
Away Win
3.17
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aris Thessaloniki an expected 1.1 goals and OFI Crete an expected 1.0 goals. Aris Thessaloniki have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and OFI Crete at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
12%
0:1
11.9%
2:0
7.7%
2:1
7.6%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5.9%
2:2
3.8%
3:0
2.9%
3:1
2.9%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aris Thessaloniki Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Aris Thessaloniki | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 6 |
| 30 | Points | 32 |
| 23% | Win % | 38% |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
