1
20%
Home Win
4.9
X
29%
Draw
3.45
2
51%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
0.71
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aldosivi an expected 0.7 goals and Unión Santa Fe an expected 1.3 goals. Aldosivi have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Unión Santa Fe at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
17.4%
0:0
13.4%
1:1
12.4%
0:2
11.3%
1:0
9.5%
1:2
8%
0:3
4.9%
2:1
4.4%
1:3
3.5%
2:0
3.4%
2:2
2.8%
0:4
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Unión Santa Fe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Aldosivi | Unión Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 2 |
| 18 | Points | 25 |
| 31% | Win % | 38% |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
Venue Form
Aldosivi at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Unión Santa Fe Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Aldosivi
L
D
D
W
Unión Santa Fe
D
L
W
D
