1
27%
Home Win
3.71
X
35%
Draw
2.87
2
38%
Away Win
2.62
xG Home
0.71
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aldosivi an expected 0.7 goals and Tigre an expected 0.9 goals. Aldosivi have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Tigre at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
19.8%
0:1
18%
1:0
14.1%
1:1
12.8%
0:2
8.2%
1:2
5.8%
2:0
5%
2:1
4.5%
0:3
2.5%
2:2
2.1%
1:3
1.8%
3:0
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigre Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Aldosivi | Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 7 |
| 18 | Points | 22 |
| 31% | Win % | 31% |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
Venue Form
Aldosivi at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Tigre Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Aldosivi
L
D
D
W
Tigre
L
D
L
