1
82%
Home Win
1.21
X
11%
Draw
8.73
2
6%
Away Win
17.01
xG Home
2.94
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Qadisiyah an expected 2.9 goals and Al-Hazem an expected 0.7 goals. Al-Qadisiyah have a 82% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Al-Hazem at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.5%
3:0
11.3%
4:0
8.3%
2:1
7.9%
1:0
7.8%
3:1
7.7%
4:1
5.7%
1:1
5.4%
2:2
2.7%
0:0
2.7%
3:2
2.7%
4:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Qadisiyah Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 82% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.22 |
| Market Odds | 1.3 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Qadisiyah | Al-Hazem | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 9 |
| 77 | Points | 42 |
| 68% | Win % | 32% |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Al-Qadisiyah at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Al-Hazem Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al-Qadisiyah
W
W
Al-Hazem
D
L
D
