1
9%
Home Win
11.21
X
14%
Draw
7.03
2
77%
Away Win
1.3
xG Home
0.82
xG Away
2.69
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Kholood an expected 0.8 goals and Al-Qadisiyah an expected 2.7 goals. Al Kholood have a 9% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Al-Qadisiyah at 77%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.8%
0:3
9.7%
1:2
8.9%
0:1
8%
1:3
8%
1:1
6.6%
0:4
6.5%
1:4
5.4%
2:2
3.6%
2:3
3.3%
0:0
3%
2:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Qadisiyah Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 77% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.3 |
| Market Odds | 1.38 |
Team Comparison
| Al Kholood | Al-Qadisiyah | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 4 |
| 33 | Points | 77 |
| 26% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.44 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Al Kholood at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Al-Qadisiyah Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al Kholood
W
D
D
Al-Qadisiyah
W
W
