1
10%
Home Win
9.82
X
19%
Draw
5.34
2
71%
Away Win
1.41
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
2.08
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Fateh SC an expected 0.6 goals and Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 2.1 goals. Al-Fateh SC have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Al-Ahli Saudi at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
14.3%
0:1
13.8%
0:3
9.9%
1:2
9.1%
1:1
8.8%
0:0
6.6%
1:3
6.3%
0:4
5.1%
1:0
4.2%
1:4
3.3%
2:2
2.9%
2:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ahli Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Fateh SC | Al-Ahli Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 3 |
| 37 | Points | 81 |
| 26% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Al-Fateh SC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Al-Ahli Saudi Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al-Fateh SC
L
W
Al-Ahli Saudi
L
W
