1
51%
Home Win
1.95
X
25%
Draw
4.01
2
24%
Away Win
4.21
xG Home
1.60
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Fayha FC an expected 1.6 goals and Al Riyadh an expected 1.0 goals. Al-Fayha FC have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al Riyadh at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
11.8%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
9.5%
0:1
7.4%
0:0
7.4%
1:2
6%
3:1
5.1%
3:0
5.1%
2:2
4.8%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Fayha FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Fayha FC | Al Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 15 |
| 38 | Points | 30 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Al-Fayha FC at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Al Riyadh Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al-Fayha FC
L
L
Al Riyadh
D
D
