1
41%
Home Win
2.42
X
32%
Draw
3.13
2
27%
Away Win
3.73
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
0.79
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Akhmat Grozny an expected 1.1 goals and FC Rostov an expected 0.8 goals. Akhmat Grozny have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and FC Rostov at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.7%
0:0
15.7%
1:1
13.2%
0:1
12.4%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
7%
1:2
5.2%
0:2
4.9%
3:0
3.1%
2:2
2.8%
3:1
2.5%
1:3
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Akhmat Grozny Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Akhmat Grozny | FC Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 10 |
| 37 | Points | 33 |
| 30% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
Akhmat Grozny at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
FC Rostov Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Akhmat Grozny
L
FC Rostov
W
