1
70%
Home Win
1.43
X
22%
Draw
4.45
2
8%
Away Win
13.07
xG Home
1.66
xG Away
0.37
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AEK Athens FC an expected 1.7 goals and Aris Thessaloniki an expected 0.4 goals. AEK Athens FC have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Aris Thessaloniki at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
21.9%
2:0
18.2%
0:0
13.2%
3:0
10.1%
1:1
8%
2:1
6.7%
0:1
4.8%
4:0
4.2%
3:1
3.7%
4:1
1.5%
1:2
1.5%
2:2
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AEK Athens FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| AEK Athens FC | Aris Thessaloniki | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 60 | Points | 30 |
| 69% | Win % | 23% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.77 |
| 0.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
