1
23%
Home Win
4.35
X
18%
Draw
5.43
2
58%
Away Win
1.71
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
2.55
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
BTTS
73%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Zimbabwe an expected 1.6 goals and South Africa an expected 2.6 goals. Zimbabwe have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and South Africa at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.2%
1:3
7%
2:2
6.5%
1:1
6.4%
2:3
5.6%
0:2
5.2%
2:1
5.1%
1:4
4.5%
0:3
4.4%
0:1
4.1%
2:4
3.6%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | South Africa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Zimbabwe | South Africa | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 1 | Points | 6 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Zimbabwe
0 : 0
South Africa
D
South Africa
2 : 0
Zimbabwe
L
South Africa
3 : 1
Zimbabwe
L