1
4%
Home Win
22.52
X
16%
Draw
6.08
2
79%
Away Win
1.26
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
2.04
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
23%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Zambia an expected 0.3 goals and Morocco an expected 2.0 goals. Zambia have a 4% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Morocco at 79%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
20%
0:1
19.6%
0:3
13.7%
0:0
9.6%
0:4
7%
1:2
6%
1:1
5.9%
1:3
4.1%
1:0
2.9%
1:4
2.1%
2:2
0.9%
2:1
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Morocco Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Zambia | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 2 | Points | 7 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Zambia
0 : 2
Morocco
L
Morocco
3 : 1
Zambia
L
Morocco
2 : 1
Zambia
L