1
53%
Home Win
1.87
X
19%
Draw
5.31
2
28%
Away Win
3.61
xG Home
2.53
xG Away
1.82
Over 2.5 Goals
81%
BTTS
77%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 2.5 goals and Dalian Zhixing an expected 1.8 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Dalian Zhixing at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
7.5%
2:2
6.8%
3:1
6.3%
1:1
6%
3:2
5.8%
1:2
5.4%
2:3
4.2%
2:0
4.1%
4:1
4%
4:2
3.6%
3:3
3.5%
3:0
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Yunnan Yukun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Yunnan Yukun | Dalian Zhixing | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 28 | Points | 29 |
| 38% | Win % | 45% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
Venue Form
Yunnan Yukun at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Dalian Zhixing Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
D
W
Dalian Zhixing
D
L