1
22%
Home Win
4.53
X
19%
Draw
5.17
2
58%
Away Win
1.71
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
2.35
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
68%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.4 goals and Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 2.3 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Chengdu Rongcheng at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.1%
1:1
7.7%
1:3
7.1%
0:2
6.5%
2:2
6.4%
0:1
5.5%
2:1
5.4%
0:3
5.1%
2:3
5%
1:4
4.2%
1:0
3.3%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Yunnan Yukun | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 28 | Points | 45 |
| 38% | Win % | 62% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Yunnan Yukun at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
D
W
Chengdu Rongcheng
D
D
W
W
Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 3
Chengdu Better City
D
Chengdu Better City
2 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
L
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 5
Chengdu Better City
W
