1
37%
Home Win
2.71
X
27%
Draw
3.76
2
37%
Away Win
2.74
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.3 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.3 goals. Wuhan Three Towns have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Henan FC at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
9.9%
0:1
9.8%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
8.1%
0:0
7.7%
2:0
6.4%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wuhan Three Towns Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Wuhan Three Towns | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 13 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 12% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Wuhan Three Towns at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Henan FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns
D
Henan FC
L