1
35%
Home Win
2.82
X
26%
Draw
3.85
2
39%
Away Win
2.59
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives WSG Wattens an expected 1.3 goals and Sturm Graz an expected 1.4 goals. WSG Wattens have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sturm Graz at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
0:1
9.5%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8%
0:0
7%
0:2
6.5%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
5.5%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sturm Graz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| WSG Wattens | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 1 |
| 31 | Points | 38 |
| 36% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
