WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.30
xG Away 1.37
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives WSG Wattens an expected 1.3 goals and Sturm Graz an expected 1.4 goals. WSG Wattens have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sturm Graz at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.4%
0:1 9.5%
1:0 9%
1:2 8.4%
2:1 8%
0:0 7%
0:2 6.5%
2:0 5.9%
2:2 5.5%
1:3 3.8%
3:1 3.5%
0:3 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sturm Graz Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

WSG Wattens Sturm Graz
7 League Position 1
31 Points 38
36% Win % 55%
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

WSG Wattens at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Sturm Graz Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

WSG Wattens
D
Sturm Graz
L

Head to Head

14 Feb 2026 Bundesliga
WSG Wattens 1 : 0 Sturm Graz
L
03 Dec 2025 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz 1 : 3 WSG Wattens
W
07 Dec 2024 Bundesliga
WSG Wattens 0 : 3 Sturm Graz
W