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Wrexham vs Middlesbrough — Prediction

Wrexham Wrexham
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Wed, 04 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
4 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Wrexham
  • Sheffield United 1–0 Wrexham
  • Blackburn 2–0 Wrexham
  • Wrexham 2–1 Southampton
  • West Ham 6–0 Wrexham
  • Wrexham 1–1 Burnley
Middlesbrough
  • Middlesbrough 3–0 Charlton
  • Bolton 1–5 Middlesbrough
  • Birmingham 2–2 Middlesbrough
  • Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall
  • Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich City
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Wrexham 46 · Middlesbrough 46. Data saved: 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Wrexham 43% · 2026-11-03 22:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.27
Model goal expectation · 2 1.57
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 57%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Wrexham 1.27 · Middlesbrough 1.57.
1 31% · X 25% · 2 44%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
0:1 9.2%
1:2 9.1%
1:0 7.4%
2:1 7.4%
0:2 7.2%
0:0 5.8%
2:2 5.8%
1:3 4.8%
2:0 4.7%
0:3 3.8%
3:1 3.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Middlesbrough Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27

Team Comparison

Wrexham Middlesbrough
7 League Position 5
71 Points 80
41% Win % 48%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02

Venue Form

Wrexham at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Middlesbrough Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Wrexham
L L W L D
Middlesbrough
W W D D W

Head to Head

02 May 2026 championship
Wrexham 0 : 1 Middlesbrough
L

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