1
36%
Home Win
2.74
X
28%
Draw
3.57
2
35%
Away Win
2.82
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vitoria an expected 1.2 goals and Internacional an expected 1.2 goals. Vitoria have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Internacional at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
1:0
11.3%
0:1
11.1%
0:0
9.6%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
6.7%
0:2
6.5%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
3.1%
1:3
3%
3:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vitoria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Vitoria | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 16 |
| 45 | Points | 44 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Vitoria at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Internacional Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Vitoria
W
D
Internacional
L
D
D
L
Head to Head
Vitoria
1 : 0
Internacional
L
Internacional
1 : 0
Vitoria
L
Internacional
3 : 1
Vitoria
L